![]() But amid the carnage of that very first week is an essential piece of data that allows viewers to crown an early favorite: the first-impression rose. Week one in particular is a bloodbath - just over a third of all contestants are eliminated in the first rose ceremony. It’s against these dizzying odds that our players persevere. The rest are either dumped on a date, rejected outside of a rose ceremony or removed by the show. Nearly 9 in 10 of those are felled at a rose ceremony - that’s the ritual ending to each week of competition in which the bachelor or bachelorette distributes roses to the contestants they want to keep dating the next week. "> 7 - which leaves the remaining 796 going out the hard way. Only 7 percent of contestants on “The Bachelorette” and “The Bachelor” win or quit contestant Brooks Forester tore out bachelorette Desiree Hartsock’s heart on a dock and when contestant Andi Dorfman (later a bachelorette) told bachelor Juan Pablo Galavis that “ there’s a difference between being honest and being an asshole.” The Women/Men Tell All” and “ After The Final Rose” episodes. ![]() ![]() "> 3 went on which dates (a one-on-one date, a two-on-one date or a group date), 4 who received roses on dates (protection from elimination that week), 5 and who left the show. Similarly, we considered contestants who joined the competition late as present but not doing anything in the weeks they were not there. "> 2: For every week of competition in every season, we noted which contestants quit the show and later returned were kept in the data set, meaning that for the weeks they missed, we recorded it as though nothing happened to them. Cross-checking and additional data collection was done using ABC’s records and archived copies of “The Bachelor” and “The Bachelorette,” provided by ABC. Here’s how we logged it the Bachelor Nation wikia. Second, ABC helped us out with some of the data (FiveThirtyEight is owned by ESPN ESPN and ABC are owned by the Walt Disney Co.). Bachelor Pad” and “ Bachelor in Paradise.”īefore we jump in, we need to make some things clear.įirst, although the motives of “Bachelor” and “Bachelorette” contestants are frequent subjects of speculation, we’re assuming that all the contestants are motivated by a desire for true love and are playing to win - that is, that they’re here for the right reasons. All that romance adds up to 856 contestants and 280 weeks of competition - and all the information we need to crack this nut. Millions watch each week as the “bachelor” or “bachelorette” uses structured, on-camera dates to whittle down a group of previously unknown contestants (always of the opposite sex) until the lucky one remains. We used that data to try to figure out what gives contestants an edge in the competition, from the first-impression rose to the final four.Īfter 15 years of more often than not solid ratings, the Bachelor franchise has become part of America’s cultural fabric - scripted television is being made about it. ![]() The previous 33 seasons - 21 of “The Bachelor” and 12 of “The Bachelorette” - have given us an unprecedented data set on what is usually an elusive subject: matters of the heart. On Monday night, a 31-year-old lawyer from Dallas named Rachel Lindsay will start her televised journey to love on the season premiere of “The Bachelorette,” the 34th season of the Bachelor franchise.
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